Episodes
Saturday Jan 20, 2024
Rock Stock Recap E7: Peak Pessimism?!
Saturday Jan 20, 2024
Saturday Jan 20, 2024
INDEX:
0:35 - Howard and Rodney Reflect on Five-Year Partnership and Launch of First Podcast
3:10 - Analyzing Lithium Market Trends: A Year-by-Year Review and Predictions for 2024
6:09 - Examining the Roots of Lithium Euphoria's Demise and the Emergence of Pessimistic Outlook: Will it Spark the Next Bull Market?
8:03 - Reflecting on Past Predictions: Are Faster Price Declines Indicators of a Quicker Recovery in the Lithium Market?
9:56 - Argentina's Lithium Outlook Brightens: New Market Players Enter as Lithium America's Argentina Hits Production Milestone
12:05 - Ganfeng's Role as a Lithium Rally Indicator: Will Their Spot Carbonate Price Predict Broader Market Trends in 2024?
12:36 - Scrutinizing Lithium Industry Giants: Q4 Results to Reveal Potential Production Cuts and Growth Capex Adjustments
14:38 - Is Lithium Industry Facing Peak Pessimism? Analysts Reflect on the Ongoing Bull vs. Bear Debate Amid Downgrades and Market Trends
18:18 - Addressing the Lithium Supply-Demand Paradox: How Has the Market Caught Up, and Is the Investment Case for EVs Still Intact?
20:17 Evaluating Challenges in Low-Grade Lepidolite Extraction: Implications for the Lithium Market Amid Price Fluctuations
25:19 - Spodumene Mines at Risk: Potential 500,000 Ton Reduction and Oversupply Concerns in the Lithium Market
26:44 - Potential Lithium Production Cutbacks: 65,000 Ton Reduction, Highlighting Ganfeng Pilbara Deal as a Key Indicator
29:06 - Implications of Lower Lithium Prices on Operations: Cash Flow Challenges and the Likelihood of Mines Going Offline
30:24 - Q4 Results Impact on Lithium Industry: Albemarle's CapEx, Pilbara's Response, and Continued Supply Challenges
32:03 - Market Perception: Mixed Views on Imminent Turnaround, Eyes on Key Players Arcadium, Albemarle, and SQM
33:07 - Potential Panic in the Market: Analysts Predict Scramble for Material as Operations Consider Care and Maintenance
34:55 - Can Chinese Operators Sustain Production Amid Losses? Questioning the Viability of Prolonged Production at Current Price Levels
36:46 - Anticipating a Demand Bump: The Likelihood of Increased EV Sales and Gigawatt Hours Deployed in the Coming Years
38:52 - Election Year Uncertainty: Potential Volatility and Market Impact Amid Political Developments
46:05 - Investment Dilemma: To Double Down on Uranium or Average Down in Lithium? Evaluating Western Australia's Hard Rock Projects, M&A Trends, and the Role of Argentina and SQM in the Evolving Market
48:04 - The Future of Lithium: Emphasizing Structural Deficit Amidst Solar and Battery Storage Growth
52:08 Competitive Tension: Brazil, Africa, and Argentina Face Off Against China Dominance in Lithium Market, Q1 Catalysts Awaited for Corporate Strategic Demand
55:05 - Caution on Acquisitions: Companies Likely to Focus on Organic Growth Plans Despite Market Dynamics
57:14 - Impact of COVID-19 on Cost Curve and Profitability
57:58 - Examining Stability and Cost Competitiveness of Lithium Production Amid Market Dynamics
#lithium #electricvehicles
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DISCLAIMER
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH
Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com
Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein
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